Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 104.969115 116.505692 128.406756 141.574089 155.707041 170.394127 186.783788
2024-10-20 83.270026 99.806278 117.797406 138.708051 162.224178 187.736472 217.387517
2024-10-27 67.545581 87.226041 109.748945 137.137144 169.240205 205.382259 248.842203
2024-11-03 58.383480 80.738215 107.514489 141.384396 182.502663 230.231055 289.221306
2024-11-10 50.489576 74.594295 104.741464 144.285221 193.827077 252.896552 327.650070
2024-11-17 44.424936 69.865038 102.984500 147.875823 205.702608 276.269936 367.389349
2024-11-24 39.783643 66.353393 102.251565 152.371972 218.541330 300.935448 409.176158
2024-12-01 32.689246 58.449726 94.790126 147.261197 218.451555 309.073443 430.354309
2024-12-08 27.665864 52.866781 89.885979 145.002178 221.630071 321.083168 456.345095
2024-12-15 24.384624 49.500040 87.752330 146.250045 229.299348 338.866049 489.901322
2024-12-22 21.807898 46.906996 86.458931 148.456039 238.160320 358.255214 525.789964
2024-12-29 20.330496 45.958651 87.525487 154.030836 251.765685 384.175225 570.667198
2025-01-05 18.412262 44.060500 87.034675 157.371211 262.507051 406.784982 612.092748
2025-01-12 15.832632 40.588254 83.700863 156.154232 266.583673 420.348616 641.698336
2025-01-19 13.691555 37.616789 80.902047 155.524903 271.383518 434.927677 672.897785
2025-01-26 12.739030 36.892017 81.851593 160.823917 285.086226 462.217897 721.935043
2025-02-02 11.626167 35.655757 81.772024 164.388766 296.209820 486.026077 766.533370
2025-02-09 10.713465 34.707833 82.098252 168.560836 308.288676 511.345527 813.550415
2025-02-16 9.998430 34.098080 82.974704 173.639707 321.848886 539.003178 864.225993
2025-02-23 8.158507 30.454552 77.787568 168.085534 318.546644 542.007194 880.145565
2025-03-02 6.892468 27.957389 74.547316 165.637674 319.945509 551.784027 905.678597
2025-03-09 6.132972 26.645584 73.542877 167.037933 327.479967 570.707663 944.498117
2025-03-16 5.540533 25.679263 73.152277 169.483905 336.724124 592.294520 987.408054